NFL Wild Card playoff odds picks Patriots keep it close enough in Buffalo plus two winning Unders

NFL Wild Card playoff odds picks Patriots keep it close enough in Buffalo plus two winning Unders

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We've finally reached the NFL playoffs, which means we no longer have to waste our time trying to figure out what the bad teams will do in any given week, though, admittedly, those bad teams can often be our best friends.After all, the did go 11-6 against the spread this season.Still, while we're losing the spread gods from Detroit, we'll just have to settle for games with high stakes and drama to make money off of. This is one of two divisional matchups this weekend, which means we've got Deven Marrero Jersey plenty of intel at our disposal. Unfortunately, one of the two games between these two was played in the Arctic Circle and can't be relied upon. At least, not unle s the weather forecast for Buffalo changes drastically between now and Saturday (it's going to be freezing, but not nearly as windy).What I come back to time and time again is Bill Belichick getting points against a team he's already gone against twice. Now, the Patriots are not The Patriots anymore. is not , and this defense isn't nearly as good as past Patriots defenses, but it is good enough to limit the Bills and keep them within range. Even in Buffalo's 33-21 victory in New England, might've thrown for 314 yards, but he needed 47 pa s attempts to get there. I expect a similar defensive game plan from New England to keep things in front, eliminate big plays, and put themselves in a position to po sibly win the game late. I don't know how succe sful they'll be when it comes to the win part, but the rest is more than feasible.Prediction: Bills 24, Patriots 21 This is a fun matchup from the perspective of offensive approaches. Philadelphia runs the ball more often than any team in the league (51.2%), while Tampa runs it the least often (33.8%). What isn't as fun, at least not for Philadelphia, is that Tampa is a team you'd prefer to be able to throw the ball against because that's its defensive weakne s. The Bucs are solid against the run, which should be a problem for the Eagles. This isn't to say that Philly won't have any succe s; it's more that it'll be hard for and Co. to find consistent succe s. If the Eagles struggle and fall behind, that'll put them in a position Jeff Mathis Jersey where they're forced to throw the ball, and they aren't good at it. Of the 14 teams to reach the postseason, only Pittsburgh has a lower pa ser rating than the Eagles. Still, while I don't have the highest of hopes for the Philadelphia offense, I'm not ready to lay 8.5 points with Tampa, either, so instead the under seems like a smarter play. The fact current forecasts are calling for winds of 20-plus mph in Tampa on Sunday doesn't hurt my confidence, either. Prediction: Bucs 27, Eagles 16 The weekend's other divisional matchup provides the opportunity for us to exploit what the general public thinks will happen. The two regular-season meetings saw 57 points scored in the first meeting and 53 more in the second. So why in the hell am I taking an under here when the total is at 49.5? Because familiarity breeds two things: contempt and lower scores. Both teams know where the other will Jarrod Dyson Jersey attack them and how to counter it. Plus, games just tend to be lower-scoring in the postseason because the intensity ratchets up a notch, and coaches will get a bit more conservative, whether intentionally or not. So with all of that in mind, I don't think our Monday night finale will have the same kind of fireworks the first two meetings did, and as long as this number stays over 49, I'm going under. You should, too. Prediction: Rams 24, Cardinals 21RecordUnitsLast Week1-2-1.2Season26-19+5.0
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